According to Cedefop’s skills forecast, in the sectors with a medium-high and high impact of coronavirus on economic activity, around one-fifth to one-quarter of the new jobs expected to be created up to 2030 are at risk of automation. This amounts to around 1.4 million jobs at stake in the EU-27.
As societies are struggling to cope with the new reality following the coronavirus pandemic in terms of socialising, shopping or working, the question arises as to whether this new way of living is here to stay and whether technology will from now on be the preferred way of doing things.
The ILO has used real-time economic and financial data to investigate the impact of the crisis on output by sectors of economic activity. Given that output is the major determinant of employment trends, it is possible to make a first assessment of how the pandemic may affect future skill needs and what the implications for occupations are. The dominant occupations in the sectors affected the most can be examined to gauge the impact of coronavirus on employment and the impact of automation and technology. Data from the 2020 Cedefop skills forecast, which is due to be published soon, along with the estimated risk of automation have been used for that purpose (see Table).
SOURCE: “Coronavirus, Automation and the Future of Work.” Cedefop News May 2020.
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